Fundamentals of Financial Management | CMA Inter Syllabus
Table of Content
1.1 Fundamentals
Finance is called “The science of money”. It studies the principles and the methods of obtaining control of money from those who have saved it, and of administering it by those into whose control it passes. Finance is a branch of economics till 1890. Economics is defined as study of the efficient use of scarce resources. The decisions made by business firm in production, marketing, finance and personnel matters form the subject matters of economics. Finance is the process of conversion of accumulated funds to productive use. It is so intermingled with other economic forces that there is difficulty in appreciating the role of it plays.
Howard and Upton in their book Introduction to Business Finance define Finance “as that administrative area or set of administrative functions in an organisation which relate with the arrangement of cash and credit so that the organisation may have the means to carry out its objectives as satisfactorily as possible”.
In the words of Parhter and Wert, “Business finance deals primarily with raising, administering and disbursing funds by privately owned business units operating in nonfinancial fields of industry”.
Corporate finance is concerned with budgeting, financial forecasting, cash management, credit administration, investment analysis and fund procurement of the business concern and the business concern needs to adopt modern technology and application suitable to the global environment.
Financial Management is managerial activity which is concerned with the planning and controlling of the firm’s financial resources.
Howard and Upton define Financial Management “as an application of general managerial principles to the area of financial decision-making”.
Weston and Brigham define Financial Management “as an area of financial decision making, harmonizing individual motives and enterprise goal”.
According to Van Horne, “Financial management is concerned with the acquisition, financing and management of assets with some overall goal in mind.”
From the above definitions, two aspects of financial management are quite apparent - (i) procurement of funds and (ii) effective utilisation of funds. Procurement of funds indicates determining the sources of funds, deciding on the methods of raising funds etc. Effective utilisation of funds implies the investment decisions, capital budgeting decisions, working capital management decisions etc.
1.2 Objectives of Financial Management
Financial management as the name suggests is management of finance. It deals with planning and mobilization of funds required by the firm. There is only one thing which matters for everyone right from the owners to the promoters and that is money. Managing of finance is nothing but managing of money.
The main objectives of financial management may be classified into: (i) Profit maximization (minimization of loss) and (ii) Value/Wealth maximization.
MV+MVE+MVD Where, MV = Market value of the firm MVE = Market value of equity shares MVD = Market value of debt; if any |
When the book values and market values of debts are the same, value or wealth maximization essentially reflects maximisation of market value per equity share.
Arguments in favour and against of profit maximisation are discussed in subsequent section of this chapter.
Another objective of financial management is to trade-off between risk and return. For this, the firm has to make efficient use of economic resources mainly capital.
1.3 Scope and Functions of Financial Management
Based on the above decisions, functions of financial management are discussed below:
1.4 Profit Optimization and Value Maximization Principle
Profit maximization or optimization and value/wealth maximization principles of the financial management are basically concerned with procurement and use of funds. Over the time, objectives of the firm have been changed from the profit maximization to value/wealth maximisation. In this section, arguments in favour and against of these two objectives of the firm are discussed.
A. Profit Maximization:
Profit maximization is one of the leading goals for all firms as it is reflected in the income statement. If the net operating profits tend to increase consecutively, the firm portrays efficient performance and if the net operating profits tend to decrease consecutively, the firm shows poor financial performance.
Profit maximization or optimisation is the main objectives of business because:
Arguments in favour of profit maximization:
Arguments against profit maximization:
As it is a short-run concept, so, profit maximization objective many a time fails to exercise any pressure on the management for increasing the future growth rate of the firm.
B. Value/Wealth Maximization:
Increasing shareholder value over time is the bottom line of every move we make. - ROBERTO GOIZUETA Former CEO, The Coca-cola Company |
Value/Wealth maximazation n is considered as the appropriate objective of an enterprise. When the firms maximize the shareholder’s value/wealth, the individual shareholder can use this wealth to maximize his individual utility. Value/Wealth Maximization is the single substitute for a shareholder’s utility.
A shareholder’s wealth or value is shown by:
Shareholder’s value/wealth = No. of shares owned × Current market price per equity share |
Higher the share price per share, the greater will be the shareholder’s wealth.
Arguments in favour of Value/Wealth Maximization:
Argument against Value/Wealth Maximization:
From the above discussion, wealth maximization is a long-term sustainable objective of a firm. Wealth maximization objective of the firm is a better and broader objective compared to the profit maximization objective. Wealth maximization objective considers the following which, profit maximization doesn’t.
There is a conflict goal between the two.
Why value/wealth maximization objective considers superior than profit maximization, we may put forward some arguments
These are:
1.5 Dynamic Role of a CFO in Emerging Business Environment
The Finance Manager or the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) plays a dynamic role in a modern company’s development. Until around the first half of the 1900s financial managers primarily raised funds and managed their firms’ cash positions – and that was pretty much it. In the 1950s, the increasing acceptance of present value concepts encouraged financial managers to expand their responsibilities and to become concerned with the selection of capital investment projects.
The head of finance i.e., CFO is considered to be importantly of the CEO in most organisations and performs a strategic role. The responsibilities of CFO include:
Today, external factors have an increasing impact on the finance manager or CFO. These are:
|
As a result, finance is required to play an ever more vital strategic role within the company. The finance manager has emerged as a team player in the overall effort of a company to create value.
The finance manager or CFO is, therefore, concerned with all financial activities of planning, raising, allocating and controlling the funds in an efficient manner. In addition, profit planning is another important function of the finance manager.
This can be done by decision making in respect of the following areas:
Besides, the CFO should comply the regulatory requirements in formulation of financial strategies.
The principal elements of this regulatory framework are: -
If you become a finance manager, your ability to adapt to change, raise funds, invest in assets, and manage wisely will affect the success of your firm and, ultimately, the overall economy as well. In an economy, efficient allocation of resources is vital to optimal growth in that economy; it is also vital to ensuring that individuals obtain satisfac[1]tion of their highest levels of personal wants. Thus, through efficiently acquiring, financing, and managing assets, the financial manager contributes to the firm and to the vitality and growth of the economy as a whole.
Today’s finance manager must have the flexibility to adapt to the changing external environment if his or her firm is to survive. The successful finance manager of tomorrow will need to supplement the traditional metrics of performance with new methods that encourage a greater role for uncertainty and multiple assumptions. These new methods will seek to value the flexibility inherent in initiatives – that is, the way in which taking one step offers you the option to stop or continue down one or more paths. In short, a correct decision may involve doing something today that in itself has small value, but gives you the option to do something of greater value in the future.
2.1 Rationale
Most financial decisions, personal as well as business, involve time value of money considerations. Money of the financial problems involves cash flows occurring at different points of the time. For evaluating such cash flows an explicit consideration of the time value of money is required.
Money has time value. A rupee today is more valuable than a rupee a year hence.
So, the time value of money is an individual’s preference for possession of a given amount of money now, rather than the same amount at some future date.
Mainly there are three reasons may be attributed to the individual’s time preference for money.
2.2 Techniques
There are two methods of estimating time value of money which are shown below figure.
Techniques of Time Value of Money
Comparison between Compounding and Discounting
2.3 Future Value and Present Value of a Single Cash Flow
i. Future Value of a Single Flow
Suppose an investor have ` 1,000 today and he deposits it with a financial institution, this pays 10 % interest compounded annually, for a period of 3 years. The deposit would grow as follows:
First year |
Principal at the beginning |
1000 |
Interest for the year (1000 x 0.10) |
100 |
|
Principle at the end |
1100 |
|
Second Year |
Principal at the beginning |
1100 |
Interest for the year (1100 x 0.10) |
110 |
|
Principle at the end |
1210 |
|
Third Year |
Principle at the beginning |
1210 |
Interest for the year (1200 x 0.10) |
121 |
|
Principle at the end |
1331 |
The general formula for the future value of single flow:
FV = PV (1+r)n
Where FV = Future value n years hence
PV = Amount invested today
r = Interest rate per period
n = Number of periods of investments
To find out the future value (FV) of a sing;e cash flow, we can use the MS Excel’s built-in function. The FV is given below: FV (RATE, NPER, PMT, PV, TYPE) RATE is the discount or the interest rate for a period. NPER is the number of periods. PMT is the equal payment (annuity) each period PV is the present value TYPE indicates the timing of cash flow, occurring either at the beginning or at the end of the period. |
Illustration 1
If a person invests ` 1,50,000 in an investment which pays 12% rate of interest, what will be the future value of the invested amount at the end of 10 years?
Solution:
The future value (FV) of the invested amount at the end of 10 years will be
FV = PV (1+r)n
FV = ` 1,50,000 (1+0.12)10
FV = ` 1,50,000 × 3.106
FV = ` 4,65,900
Doubling Period
Investor wants to know how long would take to double the investment amount at a given rate of interest. If we look at the future value interest factor table, we find that when the interest rate is 12% it takes about 6 years to double the amount. When the interest rate is 6%, it takes about 12 years to double the amount, so on and so forth.
There is a thumb rule of 72 that helps to find out the doubling period. According to this rule of thumb, the doubling period is obtained by dividing 72 by the interest rate.
However, an accurate way of calculating the doubling period is the Rule of “69”.
Under this Rule, doubling period = 0.35 +
Illustration 2
How long it will take for ` 20,000 to double at a compound rate of 8% per annum (approximately)?
Solution:
The rule of 72 is r/m
Future value of single and multiple cash flows can be calculated by using the following formulae:
ii. Present value of a Single Flow
Present Value can be calculated by using the following formulas:
.The process of discounting, used for finding present value, is simply the reverse of compounding. The present
value formula can be readily obtained by manipulating the compounding formula:
FV=PV(1+r)n
Dividing both sides of above Eq. by (1+r)n
PV = FV {1/(1+r)n}
(1/((1+r)n) in above equation called the discounting factor or the present value interest (PVIFi,n), the value of (PVIFi,n) for several combinations of I and n.
To find out the present value (FV) of a single cash flow, we can use the MS Excel’s built-in function. The PV is given below: PV (RATE, NPER, PMT, FV, TYPE) RATE is the discount or the interest rate for a period. NPER is the number of periods. PMT is the equal payment (annuity) each period FV is the Future value TYPE indicates the timing of cash flow, occurring either at the beginning or at the end of the period. |
Illustration 3
Suppose someone promise to give you ₹1,000 three years hence. What is the present value of this amount if the interest rate is 10%?
Solution:
The present value can be calculated by discounting ₹1,000, to the present point of time, as follows:
Value of three years hence = ₹1,000
Value two years hence = ₹1,000 × Value one year hence = ₹1,000 x 1/(1 0.10)
Value one year hence = ₹1,000 x 1/(1+0.10)2
Value now ( present value) = ₹1,000 x 1/(1+0.10)3 = ₹1,000 x 0.751 = ₹751
2.4 Annunity and Perpetuity
(A) Annuity
An annuity is a series of equal payments or receipts occurring over a specified number of periods. The time period between two successive payments is called payment period or rent period. The word annuity in broader sense includes payments which can be annual, semi-annual, quarterly or any other length of time. For example, when a company set aside a fixed sum each year to meet a future obligation, it is using annuity.
Future Value of Ordinary Annuity
In an ordinary annuity, payments or receipts occur at the end of each period. In a ten-year ordinary annuity, the last payment is made at the end of the tenth year.
Future Value of Ordinary Annuity can be calculated by using the following formula: FVAa = A {((1+r)n – 1/7)} OR FVAa =A [{(1+r)n -1}/r] |
Where,
PVAn = Present value of an annuity which is the sum of the compound amounts of all payments and a duration of n periods
A = Amount of each instalment or constant periodic flow
r = Discount rate
n = Number of periods
[{1- (1/1+r)n }/r] is called present value interest factor.
(B) Perpetuity: Perpetuity is an annuity that occurs indefinitely. The stream of cash flows continues for an infinite amount of time. Fixed coupon payments on permanently invested (irredeemable) sums of money are prime examples of perpetuities. Scholarships paid perpetually from an endowment fund. The value of the perpetuity is finite because r eceipts that are anticipated far in the future have extremely low present value.
By definition, in a perpetuity, time period, n, is so large (i.e., mathematically n approaches infinity) that tends to become zero and the formula for a perpetuity simply becomes
Present value of a perpetuity may be written as follows:
P∞ = A × PVIF Ar,∞
Where,
P∞ = Present value of a perpetuity
A = Constant annual payment PVIF
Ar,∞ = Present value interest factor of perpetuity
Here, the present value interest factor of perpetuity is simply 1 divided by the interest rate expressed in decimal form. So, the present value of a perpetuity is simply equal to the constant annual payment divided by the interest rate.
So, P∞ = 1/r
Or,
Present value of perpetuity = Perpetuity/Interest rate
2.5 Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is the annual growth of investments over a specific period of time. In other words, it is a measure of how much an investor earned from the investments every year during a given interval.
This is one of the most accurate methods of calculating the rise or fall of your investment returns over time.
Steps involved in calculating the CAGR of an investment:
Step 1: Divide the value of an investment at the end of the period by its value at the beginning of that period.
Step 2: Raise the result to an exponent of one divided by the number of years.
Step 3: Subtract one from the subsequent result.
Step 4: Multiply by 100 to convert the answer into a percentage.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) formula is:
CAGR= [(EV/BV)n -1 × 100
Where,
EV= Ending balance is the value of the investment at the end of the investment period.
BV= Beginning balance is the value of the investment at the beginning of the investment period.
N = Number of years amount invested.
CAGR may be used in the following cases:
For example, X Ltd. had revenues of `100 crore in 2010 which increased to ` 1,000 crore in 2020. What was the compounded annual growth rate?
Solution:
The Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CGAR) can be calculated as follows:
CAGR =
CAGR = [ ()1/n-1] x 100
= [(1,000/100)1/10-1] x 100
= [ (10)1/10-10] x 100
=26%
2.6 practical Application
An important use of present value concepts is in determining the payments required for an instalment-type loan. The distinguishing feature of this loan is that it is repaid in equal periodic payments that include both interest and principal. These payments can be made monthly, quarterly, semi-annually, or annually. Instalment payments are prevalent in mortgage loans, auto loans, consumer loans, and certain business loans.
The future value of an annuity can be applied in different scenarios by different organisations and individuals such as:
Illustration 5
Find the present value of ` 1,000 receivable 6 years hence if the rate of discount is 10%.
Solution:
` 1,000 × PVIF10%,16 = ` 1,000 × 0.5645 = ` 564.5
Illustration 6
Find the present value of ` 1,000 receivable 20 years hence if the discount rate is 8%.
Solution:
We obtain the answer as follows:
1,000 x ( 1/1.08)20
= 1,000 x ( 1/1.08)10 x ( 1/1.08)10
=` 1,000 × PVIF8%,10 × PVIF8%,10
=` 1,000 × 0.463 × 0.463
=` 214
Illustration 7
An individual deposited ` 1,00,000 in a bank @ 12% compound interest per annum. How much he would receive after 20 years?
Given, FVIF12,20 = 9.646
Solution:
FV= PV (1+r) n
Or, FV= PV (FVIFr,n),
Where,
PV FV r n |
= = = = |
Present value or sum invested ` 100,000 Future value Intrest rate i.e 12% or 0.12 Number of years i.e., 20 |
FV | = | PV (FVIFr,n) |
FV | = | `100,000 × 9.646 |
FV | = | ` 9,64,600 |
Illustration 8
Mr. X is depositing ` 20,000 in a recurring bank deposit which pays 9% p.a. compounded interest. How much Amount Mr. A will get at the end of 5th Year.
Solution:
Formula for calculating future value of annuity FVAn= A[{(1+r)n-1}/r]
where,
FVAn = Future value of an annuity which is the sum of the compound amounts of all payments and a duration of n periods
A = Amount of each instalment or constant periodic flow
r = Interest rate per period
n = Number of periods
= ` 20,000 ×1 [{(1+0.09)5-1}/0.09]
= ` 1,19,694
Illustration 9
A Person is required to pay annual payments of ` 8,000 in his Deposit Account that pays 10% interest per year. Find out the future value of annuity at the end of 5 years.
Solution:
At the end of | Amount Deposited | Term of the deposit | Future Value |
1st year | 8,000 | 4 | 8,000 x 1.464 = 11,713 |
2nd year | 8,000 | 3 | 8,000 x1.331 = 10,648 |
3rd year | 8,000 | 2 | 8,000 x1.210 = 9,680 |
4th year | 8,000 | 1 | 8,000 x1.110 = 8,800 |
5th year | 8,000 | - | 8,000 x 1.000 = 8,000 |
Future value of annunity at the end of 5 years | 48,841 |
Alternatively, the future of annuity can be obtained by using the following formula:
Formula for calculating future value of annuity FVAn = A[{(1+r)n-1}/r]
where,
FVAn = Future value of an annuity which is the sum of the compound amounts of all payments and a duration of n periods
A = Amount of each instalment or constant periodic flow
r = Interest rate per period
n = Number of periods
= ` 8,000 × 6.1051 = ` 48,841
Future Value of Annuity at the end of 5 years = ` 48,841.
Illustration 10
Ascertain the future value and compound interest of an amount of ` 75,000 at 8% compounded semi-annually for 5 years.
Solution:
Amount Invested = ` 75,000
Rate of Interest = 8%
No. of Compounds = 2 × 5 = 10 times
Rate of Interest for half year = 8%/2 = 4%
Compound Value or Future Value = P (1+i)n
Where,
P = Principal Amount
i = Rate of Interest (in the given case half year interest)
n = No. of years (no. of compounds)
= ` 75,000 (1+4%)10
= ` 75,000 × 1.4802
= ` 1,11,018
Compound Value = ` 1,11,018
Compound Interest = Compound Value – Principal Amount
= ` 75,000 (1+4%)10
= ` 75,000 × 1.4802
= ` 1,11,018
Compound Value = ` 1,11,018
Compound Interest = Compound Value – Principal Amount
= ` 1,11,018 – ` 75,000 = ` 36, 018.
Illustration 11
An investor expects a perpetual sum of ` 5,000 annually from his investment. What is the present value of the perpetuity if interest rate is 10%?
Solution:
Present value of a perpetuity = Perpetuity/Interest Rate
PV = A/i = `50,000
Return and risk are the two critical factors in investment decisions. They are closely linked. If high risk is involved, the required return on the project should also be high. So, the level of risk is measured first and then the level of return.
3.1 Various Connotations of Return
Return is the motivating force and the principal reward in the investment process and it is the key method available to investors in comparing alternative investments. Returns may have different meanings depending upon the investors’ perceptions.
Return on a typical investment consists of two components. The basic component is the periodic cash receipts and (or income) on the investment, either in the form of interest or dividends. The second component is the change in the price of the – commonly known as capital gain or loss.
Realised return is after the fact return -return that was earned or could have been earned. Realised return is
called historical return.
Expected return is the return from an asset that investors anticipate they will earn over future period. It may or may not occur.
The term yield is often used in connection this component of return. Yield refers to the income component in relation to some price for a security.
Some investors may measure return by using financial ratios- Return on Investment (ROI), Return on Equity (ROE) etc. Further, investors may assign more values to cash flows rather than to distant returns such as Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
3.2 Ex-ante and Ex-post Return
Ex-ante Return:
Ex-ante refers to future events. Ex-ante return is the prediction of returns that investor can get from a security or a portfolio.
Ex-post Return:
Ex-post means after the event. Ex-post returns are the returns that investor has already got from investment, i.e., historical return.
3.3 Types of Risk
According Horne and Wachowicz, risk is the variability of returns from those that are expected. The greater the variability, the riskier the security is said to be.
Risk in an investment asset may be divided into: (i) Systematic Risk and (ii) Unsystematic Risk.
A. Systematic Risk:
It represents that portion of total risk which is attributable to factors that affect the market as a whole. It arises out of external and uncontrollable factors, which are not specific to a security or industry to which such security belongs. It is that part of risk caused by factors that affect the price of all the securities. Beta is a measure of Systematic Risk. It cannot be eliminated by diversification. Systematic risks are discussed below:
B. Unsystematic Risk
These are risks that emanate from known and controllable factors, which are unique and / or related to a par-
ticular security or industry. These risks can be eliminated by diversification of portfolio.
3.4 Calculation of Return and Risk
Determination of the acceptability of the investment proposals of a firm involves a trade-off between risks and returns. So, risk -return analysis is used for capital budgeting decisions, purchase of shares, bonds and any readily identifiable capital or financial investments.
Calculation or Measurement of Return:
Returns across time or from different securities can be measured and compared using the total return concept. The total return of a security for a given holding period relates all the cash flows received by an investor during any designated time period to the amount of money invested.
Total return is calculated as:
Total return = Cash payment received + Price chnage over the period / Purchase price of the asset
The total return is used to measure of return for a specified period of time. Further, this return can be split in two components: dividend and capital gains. The percentage (%) of return can be expressed in mathematical terms.
Assume, P0 is the initial price, D1 is the dividend in the period 1, and P1 is the price at the end of period 1, and the total return for one period as follows:
Total return (%) = Dividend + Capital Gain / Initial Investment
= D1 + (P1 – P0) / P0
= D1/ P0 + (P1 – P0) / P0
However, investing in a particular stock for ten years or a different stock in each ten years could result in 10 total returns which must be calculated separately by using statistical tools.
Illustration 12
The current market price of a share is ` 600. An investor buys 100 shares. After one year he sells these shares at a price of ` 720 and also receives the dividend of ` 30 per share. Find the total return (%) of the investor.
Solution:
Initial investment = ` 600 × 100 = ` 60,000
Dividend earned = ` 30 × 100 = ` 3,000
Capital Gains = ` (720-600) × 100 = ` 12,000
Total return = ` 3,000 + ` 12,000 = ` 15,000
Total return (%) = [(` 3,000 + ` 12,000) / ` 60,000] × 100 = 25%
ii. Average Annual Return
There are two commonly methods used in calculating average annual returns: (a) Arithmetic Mean and (b) Geometric Mean.
When an investor wants to know the central tendency of a series of returns, the arithmetic mean is the appro- priate measure. It represents the typical performance for a single period.
If you want to calculate the average compound rate of growth that has actually occurred over multiple periods, the arithmetic mean is not appropriate. Then geometric mean is used.
iii. Expected rate of Return
The expected return is simply a weighted average of the possible returns, with the weights being the probabil-ities of occurrence. The expected rate of return can be calculated by using the formula given below:
E(R) = R1 × P1+ R2× P2+ R3 × P3+ R4 × P4 +--- + Rn × Pn
R is the rate of returns and
P is the probability
The following table shows how to calculate expected rate of return:
Expected Rate of Return
Economic Conditions (1) | Rate of Return (%)(2) | Probability(3) | Expected Rate of Return (4) = (2) x (3) |
Growth | 18.0 | 0.25 | 4.5 |
Expansion | 11.0 | 0.25 | 2.75 |
Stagnation | 1.0 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
Decline | -5.0 | 0.25 | -1.25 |
Expected Rate of Return | 6.25 |
iv. Expected Return on Portfolio
The expected return on a portfolio is the weighted average of the expected returns on the assets comprising the portfolio. When a portfolio consists of two securities, its expected return would be: E(RP)= wAE(RA) + (1-wB) E(RB)
where,
E(RP) = Expected Return of the Portfolio
WA = Weight or Proportion of a portfolio invested in Security A
E(RA) = Expected Return on Security A
1-WB = Proportion of a portfolio invested in Security B
E(RB) = Expected Return on Security B
When a portfolio consists of n number of securities, the expected return of portfolio would be: E(RP) = ∑wnE(Rn)
where,
Calculation or Measurment of Risk:
Risk may be defined as the variability of returns from an investment. Since it indicates variation in expected return, therefore statistical techniques may be used to measure risks.
Generally, the following methods are used to measure risk of an investment.
Standard Deviation is generally considered as the total risk of a particular security. It can be measured as follows:
Where,
x = Expected rate of return = E(R)
xi = ith rate of return from an investment proposal
pi = Probability of occurrence of the ith rate of return
n = Number of outcomes
Illustration 13
X Ltd. has forecasted returns on its share with the following probability distribution:
Return (%) | Probability |
-20 | 0.05 |
-10 | 0.05 |
-5 | 0.10 |
5 | 0.10 |
10 | 0.15 |
18 | 0.25 |
20 | 0.25 |
30 | 0.05 |
Find out the following: (a) Expected Rate of Return (b) Variance (c) Standard Deviation
Solution:
a. Expected Rate of Return
Expected Return can be calculated by using the following formula:
E(R) = R1 × P1 + R2 × P2 + R3 × P3 + R4 × P4 + .....................+ Rn × Pn
= (-20 × 0.05) + (-10 × 0.05) + (-5 × 0.10) + (5 × 0.10) + (10 × 0.15) + (18 × 0.25) + (-20 × 0.05) + (20 × 0.25)
+ (30 × 0.05) = 11%
b. Variance of Return
Variance can be calculated by using the following formula
σ 2 = [R1-E(R)]2 × p1+ [R2-E(R)]2 × p2 + [R3-E(R)]2 × p3+ [R4-E(R)]2 × p4 ................... [Rn-E(R)]2 × pn
= (-20-11)2 × 0.05 + (-10-11)2 × 0.05 + (-5-11)2 × 0.10 + (5-11)2 × 0.10 + (10-11)2 × 0.15 + (18-11)2 ×
0.25 + (20 – 11)2 × 0.25 + (300-11)2 × 0.05
= 150%
c. Standard devidation of Return
i. Coefficient of Variation: Variance or standard deviation are the absolute measure of Standard devia- tion can sometimes be misleading in comparing the risk.
The standard deviation when compared with the expected returns is known as the coefficient of variation
Coefficient of Variation (CV) = Standard deviation / Expected value
Thus, the coefficient of variation is a measure of relative dispersion (risk) – a measure of risk “per unit of expect- ed return.” The larger the CV, the larger the relative risk of the investment.
Illustration 14
Consider, two securities, A and B, whose normal probability distributions of one-year returns have the following characteristics:
Section A | Section B | |
Expected return, [E(R)] | 0.08 | 0.24 |
Standard deviation, (σ) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
Coefficent of variation, (CV) | 0.75 | 0.33 |
Comment on the above information.
Solution:
From the above information it is found that the standard deviation of Security B is larger than that of Securty A. So, Security B is the riskier investment opportunity with standard deviation as risk measurement tool.
However, relative to the size of expected return, Security A has greater variation. So, Security A is higher risky investment than Security B.
ii. Beta: The sensitivity of a security to market movements is called beta (β). When an investor wants to invest his money in a portfolio of securities, beta is the proper measure of risk. Beta measures systematic risk i.e., that which affects the market as a whole and hence cannot be eliminated through
Beta depends on the following factor:
According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model, the required rate of return is equivalent to the risk-free return plus risk premium.
E(RP) = RF + { βP × (RM –RF)}
Where,
E(RP) = Expected Return on Portfolio
RF = Risk Free Rate of Interest/ Return
βP = Portfolio Beta or Risk Factor
RM = Expected Return on Market Portfolio Beta is measured as follows:
β = Cov (A.M.) /
Cov(A,M) = Covariance of returns on an individual company’s security (A) with returns for market as a whole (M).
= Variance of market returns
We know,
Cov(A,M) = r(A,M) x x
r(A,M) = Coefficient of correlation between A and M
= Standard deviation of returns of security A
= Standard deviation of market rate of returns
If the value of changes in different ranges, accordingly, risk of the security would be chnages. Inferences are shown below:
Inferences
Beta Value is | Security is |
Less than 1 | Less risky than the market portfolio. |
Equal to 1 | As risky as the market portfolio. normal Beta Security. When security beta = 1 then if market move up by 10% security will move up by 10%. If market fell by 10% security also tend to fall by 10%. |
More than 1 | More risk than the market portfolio. Termed as Aggressive Security/High beta Security. A Security beta 2 will tend to move twice as much as the market. If market went up by 10% security tends to rise by 20%. If market fall by 10% Security tends to fall by 20%. |
Less than 0 | Negative Beta. It indicates negative (inverse) relationship between security return and market return. If market goes up security will fall and vice versa. Normally gold is supposed to have negative beta. |
Equal to 0 |
Means there is no systematic risk and share price has no relationship with market. Risk free security is assumed to be zero. |
illustration 15
From the folowing data, compute the beta of Security X.
= 12%
= 9%
r(A,M) = +0.72
Solution:
12 x 9 x 0.72 / 92 = 77.76 / 81 = 0.96
Illustration 16
The stock price and dividend history of X Ltd. are given below:
Year | Closing Share Price (`) | Dividend per Share (`) |
2015 | 312 | 5.50 |
2016 | 389 | 6.75 |
2017 | 234 | 4.60 |
2018 | 345 | 5.90 |
2019 | 367 | 3.78 |
2020 | 389 | 4.10 |
2021 | 412 | 5.98 |
Using the above data, compute the following:
Solution:
i. Computation of annual rates of return
Year | Closing Share Price (`) (St) | Dividend per Share (`) (Dt) | Annual rate of return [(St/St-1)-1] + Dt |
2015 | 312 | 5.50 | - |
2016 | 389 | 6.75 | 7.00 |
2017 | 234 | 4.60 | 4.20 |
2018 | 345 | 5.90 | 6.37 |
2019 | 367 | 3.78 | 3.84 |
2020 | 389 | 4.10 | 4.15 |
2021 | 412 | 5.98 | 6.03 |
Total | 31.58 |
ii. Average rate of return = arthemetic mean of annual rate of return
Total Annual Returns = 31.58
So, Average return = 31.58/6 = 5.27%
iii. Calculation of Variance
Year | Annual Return (Rt) | Average Return (%)(Rm) |
(Rt - Rm) |
(Rt - Rm)2 |
2016 | 7.00 | 5.27% | 1.73 | 2.89 |
2017 | 4.20 | 5.27 | -1.07 | 1.14 |
2018 | 6.37 | 5.27 | 1.10 | 1.22 |
2019 | 3.84 | 5.27 | -1.43 | 2.03 |
2020 | 4.15 | 5.27 | -1.11 | 1.23 |
2021 | 6.03 | 5.27 | 0.77 | 0.59 |
Total | 9.20 |
= 9.20 /6-1
=1.84
iv. Standard Deviation (σ) = = = 1.35
3.5 Capital Asset Pricing Model
William F. Sharpe and John Linter developed the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The model is based on the portfolio theory developed by Harry Markowitz. The model emphasises the risk factor in portfolio theory which is a combination of two risks, systematic risk and unsystematic risk. The model suggests that a security’s return is directly related to its systematic risk which cannot be neutralized through diversification.
CAPM explains the behavior of security prices and provides a mechanism whereby investors could assess the impact of a proposed securities are determined in such a way that the risk premium or excess return are proportion- al to systematic risk, which is indicated by the beta coefficient.
A. Features of CAMP:
B. Assumption
We can use CAPM to understand the basic risk-return trade-offs involved in various types of investment decisions. Using Beta as the measure of non-diversifiable risk, the CAPM is used to define the required rate of return on a security
E(Rs) Where, |
= | RF + { βs × (RM -RF)} |
E(Rs) | = | Expected Return on the Security or Investment |
RF | = | Risk Free Rate of Interest / Return |
βs | = | Security Beta or Risk Premium |
RM | = | Expected Return on all securities or Market return |
Illustration 17
the following information is given:
Security Beta: 1.2
Risk-free rate: 4%
Expected market return: 12%
Calculate expected rate of return on the security.
Solutions:
E(Rs) = RF + { βs × (RM -RF)}
Substituting these data into the CAPM equation, we get
E(Rs) = 4% + [1.20 × (12% - 4%)
= 4% + 9.6% = 13.6%.
Solved Case 1
Compute the future values of (1) an initial ` 100 compounded annually for 10 years at 10% and (2) an annuity of ` 100 for 10 years at 10%.
Solutions:
The future value of an investment compounded annually = Fn = P(1+i)n = P × FIVFi,n = F10 = ` 100
(1+0.10)10 = ` 100 (2.5937) = ` 259.4
The future value of an annuity = A × FVIFAin = ` 100 × 15.937 = ` 1593.7
Solved Case 2
A note (secured premium note) is available for ` 1,400. It offer, including one immediate payment, 10 annual payments of ` 210. Compute the rate of return (yield) on the note.
Solution:
=> ₹ 1,400 = ₹ 210 (1 + PVIFAr,9)
=> (1 + PVIFAr,9) = ₹ 1,400/ ₹ 210 = 6.67
(1 + PVIFAr,9) = 6.67 - 1 = 5.67
From the future value table, the closet values are 5.7590 (0.10) and 5.3282 (0.11). By interpolation, r = 10.2%.
The shares of ABC Ltd. are currently selling for ₹ 100 on which the expected dividend is ₹ 4. Compute the total return on the shares if the earnings or dividends are likely to grow at (a) 5 % (b) 10 % and (c) 0 (zero) % (no growth).
Solution:
r = (D1/P0) + g
a. Rate of growth, 5%:
= (₹ 4/₹ 100) + 0.05 = 0.04 + 0.05 = 9%
b. Rate of growth, 10%:
r = (₹ 4/₹ 100) + 0.10 = 14%
c. Rate of growth, 0 (zero) % (no growth):
r = ₹(4/ 100) = 4 %.
Solved Case 4
ABC Ltd. is considering a proposal to buy a machine for ₹ 30,000. The expected cash flows after taxes from the machine for a period of 3 consecutive years are ₹ 20,000 each. After the expiry of the useful life of the machine, the seller has guaranteed its repurchase at ₹ 2,000. The firm’s cost of capital is 10% and the risk adjusted discount rate is 18%. Should the company accept the proposal of purchasing the machine?
Solution:
Year | CFAT (₹ ) | PV factor (0.18) | Total PV (₹ ) |
1-3 | 20,000 | 2.174 | 43,480 |
3 | 2,000 | 0.751 | 1,502 |
(As per PVIF Table) | 44,982 | ||
Less cash outlays | 30,000 | ||
NPV | 14,982 |
Yes, the company should accept the proposal.
Solved Case 5
The Hypothetical Ltd is examining two mutually exclusive proposals. The management of the company uses certainty equivalents (CE) approach to evaluate new investment proposals. From the following information per- taining to these projects, advise the company as to which project should be taken up by it.
Year | Proposal A | Proposal B | ||
CFAT (₹) | CE | CFAT (₹) | CE | |
0 | (25,000) | 1.0 | 25,000 | 1.0 |
1 | 15,000 | 0.8 | 9,000 | 0.9 |
2 | 15,000 | 0.7 | 18,000 | 0.8 |
3 | 15,000 | 0.6 | 12,000 | 0.7 |
4 | 15,000 | 0.5 | 16,000 | 0.4 |
The firm's cost of capital ids 12%, and risk-free borrowing rate is 6%.
Solution:
NPV under CE method: Project A
Year | Expected CFAT (₹) | Certainty Equivalent (CE) | Adjusted CFAT (₹) | PV factor (0.06) | Total PV (₹) |
0 | (25,000) | 1.0 | (25,000) | 1.000 | (25,000) |
1 | 15,000 | 0.8 | 12,000 | 0.943 | 11,316 |
2 | 15,000 | 0.7 | 10,500 | 0.890 | 9,345 |
3 | 15,000 | 0.6 | 9,000 | 0.840 | 7,560 |
4 | 15,000 | 0.5 | 7,500 | 0.792 | 5,940 |
NPV under CE method: project B
Year | Expected CFAT (₹) | Certainty Equivalent (CE) | Adjusted CFAT (₹) | PV factor (0.06) | Total PV (₹) |
0 | (25,000) | 1.0 | (25,000) | 1.000 | (25,000) |
1 | 9,000 | 0.9 | 8,100 | 0.943 | 7,638 |
2 | 18,000 | 0.8 | 14,400 | 0.890 | 12,816 |
3 | 12,000 | 0.7 | 8,400 | 0.840 | 7,056 |
4 | 16,000 | 0.4 | 6,400 | 0.792 | 5,069 |
The company should take up project A.
A. Theoretical Questions:
1. Time value of money explains that
Answer: a. a unit of money received today is worth more than a unit received in future
2. Time value of money facilities comparison of cash flows occuring at diffrent time periods by
Answer: c. using either (a) or (b)
3. If the nominal rate of interest is 10 per cent per annum and frequency of compounding is 4 e. quarterly compounding, the effective rate of interest will be
Answer: b. 38% per annum
4. Relationship between annual effective rate of interest and annual nominal rate of interest is, if frequency of compounding is more than 1,
Answer: b. Effective Rate > Normal rate
5. If annual effective rate of interest is 25 % per annum and nominal rate of return is 10% per annum what is the frequency of compounding
Answer: c. 2
6. A student takes a loan of ₹ 50,000 from The rate of interest being charged by SBI is 10% per annum. What would be the amount of equal annual instalment if he wishes to pay it back in five instalments and first instalment, he will pay at the end of year 5?
₹ 11,000
₹ 19,310
₹ 15,000
None of the above
Answer: b. ₹ 19,310
7. How much amount should an investor invest now in order to receive five annuities starting from the end of this year of ₹ 10,000 if the rate of interest offered by bank is 10 % per annum?
Answer: c. ₹ 37,910
8. A bank offers 12% compound interests payable If you deposit ₹2,000 now, how much it will grow at the end of 5 years?
Answer: c. ₹ 3,612
9. A company wants to repay a loan of ₹ 5,00,000, 10 years from What amount should it invest each year for 10 years if the funds can earn 8% per annum. The first investment will be made at the beginning of this year.
Answer: b. ₹ 31,950
10. Risk of two securities having different expected return can be compared with
Answer: c. coefficient of variation
11. A portfolio consists of two securities and the expected return on two securities is 12% and 16% Calculate return of portfolio if first security accounts for 40% of portfolio.
Answer: b. 14.4%
12. If the rate of interest is 12%, what are the doubling periods as per the rule 72 and the rule of 69 respectively?
Answer: c. 6 Years and 6.1 years
13. To create a minimum variance portfolio, in what proportion should the two securities be mixed if the following information is given S1 = 10%, S2 = 12%, P12 = 0.6?
Answer: a. 0.72 and 0.28
14. A portfolio consisting of two risky securities can be made risk less i.e., Sp = 0, if
Answer: b. the securities are perfectly positively correlated
15. Efficient portfolios are those portfolios, which offer (for a given level of risk)
Answer: a. maximum return
16. CAPM accounts for -
Answer: a. systematic risk
1. Define financial management and state its objectives.
Answer:
2. Narrate the scope of financial
Asnwer:
3. Explain the functions of financial
Answer:
4. What do you understand by risk and return?
Answer:
5. What are the different measures of return? Compare them.
Answer:
6. What is the Capital Asset Pricing Model?
Answer:
7. Write short notes on Future Value and Present Value of a Single Cash Flow.
Answer:
8. What do you mean by Ex–ante and Ex–post Return?
Answer:
9. Distinguish between Profit Optimization and Value Maximization Principles.
Answer:
10. What is Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)?
Answer:
11. What do you mean by Annuity and Perpetuity?
Answer:
1. Explain the concept of time value of money with appropriate example.
Answer :
2. Discuss the three broad areas of financial decision making.
Answer:
3. Discuss in brief the dynamic role of CFO of a MNC.
Answer:
4. ‘The basic rationale for the objective of Shareholder Wealth Maximization is that it reflects the most efficient use of society’s economic resources and thus leads to a maximization of society’s economic wealth’ (Ezra Solomon). Comment critically.
Answer:
B. Numerical Questions:
1. Mrs. P deposited ₹ 1,00,000 on January 2015 in a fixed deposit scheme with a nationlised bank for five years. The maturity value of the fixed deposit is ₹ 2,00,000. Compute the rate of interest compounded annually.
Answer: 14.86%
2. A company has issued debentures of ₹50 lakh to be repaid after 7 How much should the company invest in a sinking fund earning 12 % in order to be able to repay debentures?
Answer: 4.96 lakh
3. XYZ Ltd. has borrowed ₹ 5,00,000 to be repaid in five equal annual payments (interest and principal both). The rate of interest is 16%. Compute the amount of each payment.
Answer: ₹ 1,52,704.39
4. The ABC company expects to receive ₹ 1,00,000 for a period of 10 years from a new project it has just undertaken. Assuming a 10 % rate of interest, how much would be the present value of this annuity?
Answer: ₹ 6,14,500
5. A life insurance company offers a 10-year single premium plan. According to the policy conditions, the investor has to pay ₹ 1,00,000 at the beginning of first year and he will receive a pension of ₹ 16,000 at the beginning of the second year onwards. What will be the yield generated by the investor?
Answer: 9.60%
6. Share of a company is traded at ₹ An investor expects the company to pay dividend of ₹ 3 per share,form one year now. The expected price one year now is ₹78.50.
a. What is the expected dividend yield, rate of price change and holding period yield?
b. If the beta of the share is 5, risk free rate is 6 % and the market risk premium is 10%, then calculate the required rate of return.
Answer: (a) 5%, 30.83% and 35.83%; (b) 21%
1. You want to borrow ₹ 30 lakh to buy a You approach a bank which charges 13% interest. You can pay ₹ 4 lakh per year towards loan amortisation. What should be loan amortization period?
Answer:
2. Mr. X is the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of ABC Ltd. in Kolkata. His company has performed in line with expectations over the past year. He is currently preparing a financial blue print for the next five years. First, he tried to forecast sales for the next five years. This is so because fixed and working capital needs depend on sales. Therefore, these two items are estimated. He also collected data on possible profits in the coming years. In this way, one can know how much money the company will provide. The remaining funds are arranged externally by the company. He is also considering seeking funding from outside the company.
Identify the concept referred to in the above case and write any two points of importance of the financial concept, so identified.
Answer:
3. After completing her MBA, Mrs. R. Sharma took over the family food processing business manufacturing pickles, jams and squashes. Started by her grandmother, the company was doing well, but had very high fixed operating costs and poor cash Now, she wants to modernize and diversify it. She approached a financial consultant, who told her that approximately ₹ 50 lakh would be required for modernization and expansion programme. He also informed her that the stock market was going through a bullish phase.
a. After considering the above discussion, name the source of finance Mrs. Sharma should not choose for financing the modernization and expansion of her food processing business. Give one reason in support of your answer.
b. Explain two other factors she should keep in mind while taking this decision.
Answer:
Cash Flow Stream
End of Year | A (₹) | B (₹) |
1 | 50,000 | 10,000 |
2 | 40,000 | 20,000 |
3 | 30,000 | 30,000 |
4 | 20,000 | 40,000 |
5 | 10,000 | 50,000 |
Total | 150,000 | 150,000 |
Answer the following:
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